{"id":2017,"date":"2013-02-26T14:58:47","date_gmt":"2013-02-26T07:58:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/?page_id=2017"},"modified":"2026-02-08T19:31:21","modified_gmt":"2026-02-08T12:31:21","slug":"statistika-dan-probabilitas","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/kuliah\/sarjana-s1\/statistika-dan-probabilitas\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistika dan Probabilitas"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Mata kuliah \u201cStatistika dan Probabilitas\u201d merupakan salah satu mata kuliah wajib di Program Sarjana (S1) DTSL FT UGM, Semester I, 2 sks. Kuliah diselenggarakan dalam 14\u00d7100\u2032 tatap muka, dibagi menjadi dua bagian, masing-masing 7\u00d7100\u2032 tatap muka. Bagian I dilaksanakan sebelum UTS dan Bagian II diselenggarakan sesudah UTS.<\/p>\r\n<p>Mulai Tahun Akademik 2023-2024, mata kuliah &#8220;Statistika dan Probabilitas&#8221; merupakan salah satu mata kulia wajib di Prodi Teknik Sumber Daya Air DTSL FT UGM, Semester II, 2 sks. Saya mengampunya mulai TA 2024-2025.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Materi Kuliah<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li>Besaran statistik (<em>central tendency, variability, measure of individual in a population<\/em>).<\/li>\r\n<li>Data, sampel, populasi.<\/li>\r\n<li>Presentasi data dalam bentuk tabel atau grafik.<\/li>\r\n<li>Probabilitas (interpretasi probabilitas, kala ulang, probabilitas bersyarat, probabilitas total, Teorema Bayes).<\/li>\r\n<li>Variabel acak, pdf, cdf.<\/li>\r\n<li>Distribusi probabilitas variabel random diskrit (distribusi binomial, Poisson, geometrik, multinomial, hipergeometrik);<\/li>\r\n<li>Distribusi probabilitas variabel random kontinu (distribusi seragam, eksponensial, gamma, beta, Weibull, normal, lognormal)<\/li>\r\n<li>Estimasi dan pengujian statistis inferensi: estimasi rentang keyakinan (<em>confidence intervals<\/em>); uji hipotesis;<\/li>\r\n<li>Regresi.<\/li>\r\n<li>Korelasi.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Agenda Kuliah<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-regular\">\r\n<table class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">\r\n<thead>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td><strong>Minggu ke-<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<td><strong>Topik<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<td><strong>Materi<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">1<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Besaran stastistik.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Nilai tengah, ukuran sentral.<br \/>Keragaman, variabilitas.<br \/>Posisi suatu\/sebuah nilai dalam populasi.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">2<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Data, sampel, populasi.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Pengertian data, sampel, populasi.<br \/>Presentasi data dalam bentuk tabel atau grafik.<br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">PR\/Kuis<\/span>: membuat presentasi data dalam bentuk tabel dan grafik.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>3<\/td>\r\n<td>Probabilitas (1).<\/td>\r\n<td>Konsep dasar probabilitas.<br \/>Interpretasi probabilitas.<br \/>Probabilitas dan kala ulang (<em>return period<\/em>).<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">4<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Probabilitas (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Probabilitas bersyarat.<br \/>Probabilitas total.<br \/>Teorema Bayes.<br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">PR\/Kuis<\/span>: menghitung probabilitas.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">5<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Variabel acak (<em>random variables<\/em>).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Pengertian variabel acak, pdf, cdf.<br \/>Pengertian distribusi probabilitas variabel acak.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">6<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Distribusi probabilitas variabel acak diskrit.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Distribusi binomial.<br \/>Distribusi Poisson.<br \/>Distribusi geometrik.<br \/>Distribusi multinomial.<br \/>Distribusi hipergeometrik.<br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">PR\/Kuis<\/span>: menghitung probabilitas.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">7<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Distribusi probabilitas variabel acak kontinu.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Distribusi\u00a0<em>uniform<\/em>.<br \/>Distribusi eksponensial.<br \/>Distribusi gamma dan beta.<br \/>Distribusi Weibull.<br \/>Distribusi normal.<br \/>Distribusi log-normal.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>8<\/td>\r\n<td colspan=\"2\"><strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">UTS Ujian Tengah Semester.<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">9<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Inferensi statistis: rentang keyakinan (1).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Pengertian dan fungsi inferensi statistis di bidang engineering<br \/>Estimasi parameter statistis: estimasi tunggal, estimasi dengan memakai konsep rentang keyakinan.<br \/>Rentang keyakinan mean populasi distribusi normal.<br \/>Tabel distribusi normal, tabel distribusi t.<br \/>Studi kasus.<br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">PR\/Kuis<\/span>: menghitung rentang keyakinan mean populasi distribusi normal.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">10<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Inferensi statistis: rentang keyakinan (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Rentang keyakinan varians populasi distribusi normal.<br \/><em>Margin of error<\/em>.<br \/>Rentang keyakinan dua sampel.<br \/>Studi kasus.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">11<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Inferensi statistis: uji hipotesis (1).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Pengertian dan prosedur uji hipotesis.<br \/>Uji hipotesis mean populasi distribusi normal.<br \/>Uji hipotesis satu sisi dan dua sisi.<br \/>Studi kasus.<br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">PR\/Kuis<\/span>: menghitung rentang keyakinan dan uji hipotesis\u00a0<em>mean<\/em>\u00a0populasi distribusi normal.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">12<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Inferensi statistis: uji hipotesis (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Uji hipotesis mean populasi dua distribusi normal.<br \/>Uji hipotesis varians populasi distribusi normal.<br \/>Hubungan antara rentang keyakinan dan uji hipotesis.<br \/>Studi kasus.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">13<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Regresi.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Pengertian regresi.<br \/>Regresi linier satu variabel.<br \/>Regresi linear dua variabel.<br \/>Contoh aplikasi dan studi kasus.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">14<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Korelasi.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Pengertian korelasi.<br \/>Koefisien korelasi.<br \/>Studi kasus.<br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">PR\/Kuis<\/span>: menghitung regresi dan korelasi.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">15<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Studi kasus.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Studi kasus menyangkut seluruh materi yang terkait dengan bidang teknik sipil.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>16<\/td>\r\n<td colspan=\"2\"><strong><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">UAS Ujian Akhir Semester.<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bahan Kuliah<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Di bawah ini adalah beberapa file tayangan pada kuliah.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP00-Pengantar.pdf\">SDP00 Pengantar<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP01-Pendahuluan.pdf\">SDP01 Pendahuluan<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP02-Pengorganisasian-dan-Penyajian-Data.pdf\">SDP02 Pengorganisasian dan Penyajian Data<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP03-Ukuran-Lokasi-dan-Dispersi.pdf\">SDP03 Ukuran Lokasi dan Dispersi<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP04-Probabilitas.pdf\">SDP04 Probabilitas<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP05-Variabel-Random-1.pdf\">SDP05 Variabel Random<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP06-Distribusi-Probabilitas-Variabel-Random.pdf\">SDP06 Distribusi Probabilitas Variabel Random<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP07-Rentang-Keyakinan.pdf\">SDP07 Rentang Keyakinan<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP08-Uji-Hipotesis-1.pdf\">SDP08 Uji Hipotesis<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP09-Regresi.pdf\">SDP09 Regresi<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SDP10-Korelasi.pdf\">SDP10 Korelasi<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Data-untuk-Bab-2.xlsx\">Data untuk Bab 2.xslx<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Data-temperatur-udara-harian-maksimum.xlsx\">Data temperatur udara harian maksimum.xlsx<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tabel Statistik<\/h3>\r\n\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-Normal-Standar.pdf\">Tabel distribusi normal standar<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-t.pdf\">Tabel distribusi t<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-Chi-kuadrat.pdf\">Tabel distribusi chi-kuadrat<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-F.pdf\">Tabel distribusi F<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Contoh Soal<\/h2>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UTS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2013.pdf\">Soal UTS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2013<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UTS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2014.pdf\">Soal UTS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2014<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2015.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2015<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2016.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2016<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2017.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2017<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2018.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2018<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2019.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2019<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2020-1.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2020<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2021.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2021<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2022.pdf\">Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2022<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal_UTS_StatProb_TSDA_2025.pdf\">Soal_UTS_StatProb_TSDA_2025<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-Ujian-Akhir-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-TSDA-2024-2025.pdf\">Soal_UAS_StatProb_TSDA_2025<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>\r\n\r\n<\/p>\r\n<h2>Contoh Penyelesaian Soal<\/h2>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UTS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2013.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UTS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2013<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2016.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2016<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2017.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2017<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2018.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2018<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2019.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2019<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2020.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2020<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2021.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2021<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian-Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-2022.pdf\">Penyelesaian Soal UAS Statistika dan Probabilitas 2022<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian_Soal_UTS_StatProb_TSDA_2025_r1.pdf\" rel=\"\">Penyelesaian_Soal_UTS_StatProb_TSDA_2025<\/a><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mata kuliah \u201cStatistika dan Probabilitas\u201d merupakan salah satu mata kuliah wajib di Program Sarjana (S1) DTSL FT UGM, Semester I, 2 sks. Kuliah diselenggarakan dalam 14\u00d7100\u2032 tatap muka, dibagi menjadi dua bagian, masing-masing 7\u00d7100\u2032 tatap muka. Bagian I dilaksanakan sebelum &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/kuliah\/sarjana-s1\/statistika-dan-probabilitas\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1108,"featured_media":0,"parent":2999,"menu_order":8,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-2017","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2017","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2017"}],"version-history":[{"count":61,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2017\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7218,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2017\/revisions\/7218"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}