{"id":5961,"date":"2024-08-14T22:08:07","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T15:08:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/?page_id=5961"},"modified":"2026-02-08T19:31:27","modified_gmt":"2026-02-08T12:31:27","slug":"statistics-and-probability","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/kuliah\/sarjana-s1\/statistics-and-probability\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistics and Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Statistics and Probability is a course subject in the IUP&#8217;s Civil Engineering. It is a 2-credit compulsory subject. The subject covers the following topics.<\/p>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Introduction to statistics<\/li>\r\n<li>Data organization and presentation<\/li>\r\n<li>Statistical measures<\/li>\r\n<li>Probability<\/li>\r\n<li>Random variables<\/li>\r\n<li>Probability distributions<\/li>\r\n<li>Confidence intervals<\/li>\r\n<li>Hypothesis testings<\/li>\r\n<li>Regression<\/li>\r\n<li>Correlation<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<h2>Weekly Agenda<\/h2>\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-regular\">\r\n<table class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">\r\n<thead>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td><strong>Week#<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<td><strong>Subject<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<td><strong>Description<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">1<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Statistical measure.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Central tendency. Variability. Measure of individual in a population.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">2<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Data, samples, and population<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Understanding on data, samples, and population. Presentation of data in tables and charts.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">3<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Probability (1).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Basics of probability. Interpretation of probability.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">4<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Probability (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Conditional probability. Total probability. Bayes theorem. <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Exercise #1<\/span><\/strong>.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">5<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Random variables.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Understanding on random variables, pdf, and cdf. Random variables. Bivariate random variables.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">6<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Probability distribution (1).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Hypergeometric distribution. Binomial distribution. Poisson distribution. Geometric distribution. Negative binomial distribution. <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Exercise #2<\/span><\/strong>.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">7<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Probability distribution (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Uniform distribution. Normal distribution. t distribution. Chi-square distribution. F distribution.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>8<\/td>\r\n<td colspan=\"2\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Midterm exam.<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">9<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Statistical inferences, confidence intervals (1).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Review on subjects from weeks prior to midterm exam. Introduction to statistical inferences in engineering. Estimate of statistical parameters, single estimate, confidence intervals. Confidence interval on mean of normal distribution. \u00a0Statistical tables.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">10<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Statistical inferences, confidence intervals (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Confidence interval on variance of normal distribution. Margin of error. Confidence interval on two samples.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">11<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Statistical inferences, hypothesis testing (1).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Introduction to hypothesis tests. Hypothesis testing on mean of normal distribution. Single- and double-sided hypothesis tests. <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Exercise 1.<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">12<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Statistical inferences, hypothesis testing (2).<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Hypothesis on mean of two normal distributions. Hypothesis on variance of normal distribution. Hypothesis test vs confidence interval.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">13<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Regression.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Introduction to regression. Linear regression. Linear regression of two variables. Polynomial regression. Multivariable regression.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">14<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Correlation.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Introduction to correlation. Correlation coefficient. <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Exercise 2<\/span><\/strong>.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">15<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Case studies.<\/td>\r\n<td valign=\"top\">Review, case study.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>16<\/td>\r\n<td colspan=\"2\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Final Exam.<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lecture Notes<\/h2>\r\n<p>Below are presentation files in pdf format.<\/p>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP00-Course-Description.pdf\">SAP00 Course Description<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP01-Introduction.pdf\">SAP01 Introduction<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP02-Data-Organization-and-Presentation.pdf\">SAP02 Data Organization and Presentation<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP03-Statistical-Measures.pdf\">SAP03 Statistical Measures<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP04-Probability.pdf\" rel=\"\">SAP04 Probability<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP05_Random_Variables.pdf\" rel=\"\">SAP05 Random Variables<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP06-Probability-Distributions.pdf\" rel=\"\">SAP06 Probability Distributions<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP07-Confidence-Intervals.pdf\">SAP07 Confidence Intervals<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP08_Hypothesis_Testing.pdf\">SAP08 Hypothesis Testing<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP09-Regression.pdf\">SAP09 Regression<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/SAP10-Correlation.pdf\">SAP10 Correlation<\/a><\/p>\r\n<h3>Statistical Tables<\/h3>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-Normal-Standar.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Standard normal distribution<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-t.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">t distribution<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-Chi-kuadrat.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chi-square distribution<\/a> <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Tabel-Distribusi-F.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">F distribution<\/a><\/p>\r\n<h3>Data for Exercises<\/h3>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Example_students_grade.xlsx\">Example_students_grade.xlsx<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Example_water_supply_failure.xlsx\">Example_water_supply_failure.xlsx<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Example_Bivariate_Random_Variables.xlsx\">Example_Bivariate_Random_Variables.xlsx<\/a><\/p>\r\n<h2>Exams<\/h2>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal_UTS_Stat_and_Prob_IUP_2024.pdf\" rel=\"\">Midterm_Exam_2024<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian_Soal_UTS_Stat_and_Prob_IUP_2024-1.pdf\" rel=\"\">Solved_Problems_Midterm_Exam_2024<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal-UAS-Statistika-dan-Probabilitas-IUP-2024.pdf\" rel=\"\">EndSem_Exam_2024<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian_Soal_UAS_Stat_and_Prob_IUP_2024.pdf\">Solved_Problems_EndSem_Exam_2024<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Midterm-Exam-Statistics-and-Probability_IUP-DTSL.pdf\">Midterm_Exam_2025<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian_Soal_UTS_Stat_and_Prob_IUP_2025.pdf\">Solved_Problems_Midterm_Exam_2025<\/a> <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Soal_UAS_Stat_and_Prob_IUP_2025.pdf\">Final_Exam_2025<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/files\/Penyelesaian_Soal_UAS_Stat_and_Prob_IUP_2025-1.pdf\">Solved_Problems_Final_Exam_2025<\/a><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Statistics and Probability is a course subject in the IUP&#8217;s Civil Engineering. It is a 2-credit compulsory subject. The subject covers the following topics. Introduction to statistics Data organization and presentation Statistical measures Probability Random variables Probability distributions Confidence intervals &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/kuliah\/sarjana-s1\/statistics-and-probability\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":71,"featured_media":0,"parent":2999,"menu_order":7,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-5961","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/71"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5961"}],"version-history":[{"count":99,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7267,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5961\/revisions\/7267"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istiarto.staff.ugm.ac.id\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}